perimetrado, vigilancia activaObserved 26 Jul 2026, 10:19 UTC
Physical identityToledo remains a distinct administrative and physical record; no governed EFFIS polygon was assigned in this package.Administrative identityToledo, Castilla-La ManchaOperational groupingcentral-spain-national-emergencyForecast regionES-CRegional context only—not an incident growth simulation
Current operational situation
Status & public orders
Official reported areaNot publishedINFOCAM; national emergency unified commandEFFIS mapped areaNot publishedSatellite-mapped burnt area · separate measurementEvacuated5,200 evacuated across the Toledo reporting scopeToledo, Castilla-La ManchaConfinedNo separable Toledo confinement total publishedToledo, Castilla-La Mancha
Responsible authorities
responsible operational authorityINFOCAM; national emergency unified command
Evacuation, confinement and closure records
Road closureeffective-at-frozen-updateN-403 restriction between Cadalso de los Vidrios and Almorox.
National emergency command / road authority · effective Not published
No authority polygon published; map uses a point reference only.
Measurement ledger
Perimeters kept separate
An operational area estimate and an EFFIS satellite-mapped burnt-area perimeter may cover different objects at different times. Auburn neither merges them nor silently chooses one.
EFFIS geometry stateNot available
No satellite-mapped perimeter was associated with this incident in the frozen package.
Regional context · Auburn IC1
14-day scenario envelope
This is regional context—not an incident-specific prediction. It does not forecast an exact perimeter, arrival time or named-place impact.
0-72hEXTREME · P50 0.664
P10 0.656 · P90 0.672
S · SW · NE P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.days-4-7EXTREME · P50 0.819
P10 0.783 · P90 0.843
NE P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.days-8-14EXTREME · P50 0.787
P10 0.730 · P90 0.814
NE P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather scenario envelope; direction is a broad monitoring corridor, never a predicted fireline.