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Top priority · incident dossier · ES

Priority 08

Incendio de La Mierla

La Mierla

Guadalajara41.1020, -3.0700
estabilizado, vigilanciaObserved 26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC
Physical identityLa Mierla is separate from the Madrid–Ávila–Toledo national-emergency command group.
Administrative identityGuadalajara, Castilla-La Mancha
Operational groupingNo shared operational group recorded
Forecast regionES-CRegional context only—not an incident growth simulation

Current operational situation

Status & public orders

Official reported area35,000 haJunta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha / INFOCAM
EFFIS mapped area33,418 haSatellite-mapped burnt area · separate measurement
EvacuatedApproximately 1,200 evacuated across the incident scopeGuadalajara, Castilla-La Mancha
Confined14 localities reported confined; no reconciled person totalGuadalajara, Castilla-La Mancha

Responsible authorities

responsible operational authorityJunta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha / INFOCAM

Evacuation, confinement and closure records

No closure or public-order record acquired for this dossier.

This is an unavailable evidence state, not evidence that no order exists.

No authority polygon published in the frozen package.

Measurement ledger

Perimeters kept separate

An operational area estimate and an EFFIS satellite-mapped burnt-area perimeter may cover different objects at different times. Auburn neither merges them nor silently chooses one.

EFFIS record 561620 · principal perimeter33,418 ha

European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), JRC
Updated 17 Jul 2026, 05:22 UTC

A remote-sensing perimeter/area estimate kept separate from national or incident-command reported hectares.

Regional context · Auburn IC1

14-day scenario envelope

This is regional context—not an incident-specific prediction. It does not forecast an exact perimeter, arrival time or named-place impact.

0-72hEXTREME · P50 0.664

P10 0.656 · P90 0.672

S · SW · NE
P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.
days-4-7EXTREME · P50 0.819

P10 0.783 · P90 0.843

NE
P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.
days-8-14EXTREME · P50 0.787

P10 0.730 · P90 0.814

NE
P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather scenario envelope; direction is a broad monitoring corridor, never a predicted fireline.
0.59S
0.64SW
0.76NE
0.82NE
0.84NE
0.82NE
0.80NE
0.81NE
0.81NE
0.78NE
0.78NE
0.79NE
0.79NE
0.78NE

Chronology

Incident timeline