Physical identityGironde incident complex; its two EFFIS polygons remain separate measurements and are not joined to any Spanish perimeter.Administrative identityGironde, Nouvelle-AquitaineOperational groupingNo shared operational group recordedForecast regionFR-SWRegional context only—not an incident growth simulation
Current operational situation
Status & public orders
Official reported area42,000 haPréfecture de la Gironde / SDIS 33EFFIS mapped area34,640 haSatellite-mapped burnt area · separate measurementEvacuated220,000 evacuated in the Gironde source scopeGironde, Nouvelle-AquitaineConfinedNo confinement total published in the frozen source packageGironde, Nouvelle-Aquitaine
Responsible authorities
responsible operational authorityPréfecture de la Gironde / SDIS 33
Evacuation, confinement and closure records
Road closureeffective-at-frozen-updateA63 closure/restriction reported in the Gironde operational loop.
Préfecture de la Gironde · effective Not published
No authority polygon published; map uses a point reference only.
Measurement ledger
Perimeters kept separate
An operational area estimate and an EFFIS satellite-mapped burnt-area perimeter may cover different objects at different times. Auburn neither merges them nor silently chooses one.
EFFIS record 562583 · principal perimeter29,872 ha
European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), JRC Updated 23 Jul 2026, 05:45 UTC
A remote-sensing perimeter/area estimate kept separate from national or incident-command reported hectares.EFFIS record 570516 · newer eastern front4,768 ha
European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), JRC Updated 26 Jul 2026, 06:43 UTC
A remote-sensing perimeter/area estimate kept separate from national or incident-command reported hectares.
Regional context · Auburn IC1
14-day scenario envelope
This is regional context—not an incident-specific prediction. It does not forecast an exact perimeter, arrival time or named-place impact.
0-72hMODERATE · P50 0.428
P10 0.400 · P90 0.453
E · SE · SW P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.days-4-7HIGH · P50 0.491
P10 0.413 · P90 0.547
NE · E · SE P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather pressure range; not a fire-arrival probability.days-8-14HIGH · P50 0.461
P10 0.389 · P90 0.530
E · SE P10/P50/P90 ECMWF ensemble fire-weather scenario envelope; direction is a broad monitoring corridor, never a predicted fireline.
0.35E
0.30SE
0.63SW
0.76NE
0.43E
0.40SE
0.44SE
0.45E
0.42E
0.43E
0.47SE
0.45SE
0.46SE
0.46SE
Chronology
Incident timeline
officialGironde reported-area estimate reaches 42,000 hectares; fire remains active and not fixed.
Gironde reported-area estimate reaches 42,000 hectares; fire remains active and not fixed.